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Red192
293049.7
357429.8
241261.8
Blue139
903639.5
94917.8
36054.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149107050200250192139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points71
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#5
24Processor points6
36Net points20
60Algae points26
129Total teleop97
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
192Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.83.6
60.864.4
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 7.6
360
#17
54.31.8
52.153.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
49.73.6
45.649.2
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
red by 10.2
39.51.8
35.937.7
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Third
3574
#15
29.83.6
22.626.2
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
red by 12.0
949
#11
17.81.8
13.515.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned