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Red70
293049.7
902358.7
56839.9
Blue153
241261.8
418011.2
291087.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15220405010025030035040070153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+71
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points48
30Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +53
6Coral scored#20
22Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
36Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#12
3L3#9
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
70Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.74.5
72.167.6
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
blue by 28.5
87.21.3
96.094.7
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
Second
49.74.5
58.253.7
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
blue by 12.2
61.81.3
57.556.3
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
Third
5683
#22
9.94.5
7.42.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
blue by 1.3
4180
#27
11.21.3
18.717.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned