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Red89
446948.5
469231.7
378625.4
Blue94
451256.4
903639.5
357429.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281450501002002503008994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
62Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
89Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#13
48.51.8
58.056.3
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
blue by 7.8
56.42.3
57.755.3
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
Second
4692
#20
31.71.8
30.628.8
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 7.8
39.52.3
43.641.3
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Third
3786
#19
25.41.8
27.225.4
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 4.4
3574
#15
29.82.3
27.925.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed