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Red91
378625.4
291087.2
298010.9
Blue97
593738.7
204651.4
746110.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541060502002509197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
24Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
51Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points4
91Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.22.7
92.489.7
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
red by 35.8
51.40.2
47.947.7
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Second
3786
#19
25.42.7
25.522.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 13.4
5937
#16
38.70.2
38.538.3
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Third
2980
#26
10.92.7
13.610.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
red by 0.9
7461
#14
10.00.2
9.89.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed