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Red95
824815.9
805127.3
469231.7
Blue86
12949.2
321917.4
491553.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65790501001502009586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +26
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
63Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
95Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#20
31.72.0
27.229.1
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 21.4
53.10.7
48.849.5
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
Second
8051
#10
27.32.0
24.926.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 10.0
3219
#21
17.40.7
17.518.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
8248
#18
15.92.0
13.415.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 6.7
1294
#23
9.20.7
8.49.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned