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Red114
204651.4
805127.3
902358.7
Blue62
94917.8
198326.4
12949.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1993205010015025030035011462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
54Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
114Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.73.1
67.664.5
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 32.3
1983
#25
26.40.8
29.930.6
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
Second
51.43.1
58.355.2
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
red by 33.6
949
#11
17.80.8
10.211.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Third
8051
#10
27.33.1
32.629.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 18.1
1294
#23
9.20.8
10.311.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed