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Red146
491553.1
746110.0
241261.8
Blue128
36054.3
293049.7
321917.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150150100120140160180146128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
83Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
146Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.1
56.356.4
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 7.6
360
#17
54.31.7
59.858.1
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
53.10.1
58.658.8
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 3.4
49.71.7
53.752.0
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
Third
7461
#14
10.00.1
17.717.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 7.3
3219
#21
17.41.7
22.721.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned