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Red120
593738.7
198326.4
805127.3
Blue125
36054.3
746110.0
902358.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93143050200250120125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
78Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +5
12Foul points0
120Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#16
38.70.3
38.438.7
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
blue by 19.9
58.70.1
58.358.4
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
8051
#10
27.30.3
27.027.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 26.9
360
#17
54.30.1
53.954.0
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Third
1983
#25
26.40.3
26.126.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
red by 16.4
7461
#14
10.00.1
9.79.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3