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Red172
291073.4
944262.0
290622.7
Blue118
9498.9
48845.6
241240.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1738850100150200250172118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+68Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +44
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
18Processor points12
36Net points12
54Algae points24
128Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points14
172Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.3
73.173.4
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 27.8
488
#4
45.60.2
45.345.6
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
62.00.3
61.762.0
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
red by 21.6
40.50.2
40.240.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
Third
2906
#14
22.70.3
22.422.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 13.8
949
#31
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5