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Red201
291073.4
944262.0
290622.7
Blue117
9498.9
48845.6
241240.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1718650100150200250201117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+64Teleop
+72Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +57
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points63
5Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
30Processor points6
28Net points12
58Algae points18
138Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +84
12Foul points0
201Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.8
72.373.1
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 27.8
488
#4
45.60.5
44.845.3
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
62.00.8
60.961.7
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
red by 21.6
40.50.5
39.740.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
Third
2906
#14
22.70.8
21.622.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 13.8
949
#31
8.90.5
8.18.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5