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Red110
9498.9
48845.6
241240.5
Blue109
94841.5
491819.4
49231.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9697708090110120130110109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
72Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points0
110Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.60.4
44.444.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 4.1
948
#10
41.50.4
41.141.5
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
40.50.4
39.339.7
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 8.6
492
#6
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Third
949
#31
8.90.4
7.88.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 10.5
4918
#26
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0