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Red107
94841.5
491819.4
49231.9
Blue62
307031.3
189927.3
129419.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99815015010762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
71Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
107Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#10
41.50.4
40.741.1
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
red by 10.1
3070
#16
31.30.4
31.731.3
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Second
492
#6
31.90.4
31.131.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
red by 4.6
1899
#11
27.30.4
27.627.3
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
4918
#26
19.40.4
18.719.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 0.4
1294
#19
19.00.4
19.319.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3