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Red77
635016.0
32689.5
491534.1
Blue7
292717.1
358813.0
30498.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4752020406080777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +25
5Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#0
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
26Foul points0
77Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.7
20.921.6
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 17.0
2927
#25
17.14.5
17.713.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Second
6350
#18
16.00.7
15.416.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 2.9
3588
#23
13.04.5
8.54.1
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Third
3268
#29
9.50.7
8.49.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 1.1
3049
#30
8.34.5
21.016.5
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed