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Red27
1045516.3
9498.9
290622.7
Blue148
297616.8
368129.5
944262.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1512205010015020027148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+65
Endgame+63
Fouls+121
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +121
0Foul points58
27Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2906
#14
22.70.7
9.89.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
blue by 39.3
62.01.3
56.855.5
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
16.30.7
7.46.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 13.3
29.52.1
22.420.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
Third
949
#31
8.90.7
10.59.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 7.9
2976
#21
16.82.1
24.122.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed