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Red73
321918.0
803217.5
307031.3
Blue13
824812.3
498018.2
94841.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696602040801001207313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+32Teleop
+54Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +26
6Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
26Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#0
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points6
73Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#16
31.30.2
29.729.5
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
blue by 10.1
948
#10
41.56.0
25.219.3
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
3219
#12
18.00.2
12.312.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
blue by 0.3
4980
#20
18.26.0
16.410.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
8032
#15
17.50.2
20.720.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 5.2
8248
#13
12.36.0
19.213.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned