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Red94
129419.0
48845.6
902337.6
Blue28
418020.1
491819.4
198323.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935802040801201401609428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
54Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
18Foul points0
94Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.60.6
34.734.1
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 22.0
1983
#24
23.53.2
26.723.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
Second
37.60.6
26.826.2
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
red by 17.5
4180
#22
20.13.2
16.112.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
1294
#19
19.00.6
20.119.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 0.4
4918
#26
19.41.9
13.912.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed