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Qual 112025 PNW District Sammamish Event
Red115
30498.3
291073.4
49231.9
Blue70
292814.3
290622.7
241240.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10956020408010012014016011570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+49Teleop
+57Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
88Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points12
115Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#1
73.42.3
46.7→49.1
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 32.9
2412
#3
40.50.1
30.3→30.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
Second
492
#6
31.92.3
28.7→31.0
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
red by 9.2
2906
#14
22.70.1
9.7→9.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
Third
3049
#30
8.32.3
18.6→21.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
blue by 5.9
2928
#28
14.30.1
17.2→17.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed