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Red20
903626.2
32689.5
358813.0
Blue157
944262.0
368129.5
307031.3
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48115010015020157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+99
Endgame+113
Fouls+137
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +82
2Coral scored#19
8Coral points70
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
12Total teleop94
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#7
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +137
0Foul points24
20Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#17
26.23.5
27.624.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
blue by 35.8
62.02.3
54.656.8
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
3588
#23
13.03.5
12.08.5
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 18.3
3070
#16
31.33.8
25.929.7
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Third
3268
#29
9.53.5
11.98.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 20.1
29.53.8
18.622.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned