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Red19
9498.9
491819.4
824812.3
Blue69
635016.0
582736.3
803217.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5674020401001201401969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+36
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
14Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
19Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#26
19.42.3
16.213.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 16.9
36.30.2
31.131.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Second
8248
#13
12.33.8
23.019.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 5.2
8032
#15
17.50.3
20.520.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Third
949
#31
8.93.8
14.310.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 7.0
6350
#18
16.00.3
15.115.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned