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Red52
290622.7
30498.3
189927.3
Blue23
32689.5
48845.6
9498.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5558203040507080905223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#2
34Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
38Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
52Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#11
27.30.8
24.924.1
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
blue by 18.3
488
#4
45.63.7
34.130.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
2906
#14
22.70.8
9.28.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 13.3
3268
#29
9.53.7
9.15.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Third
3049
#30
8.30.8
16.515.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
blue by 0.6
949
#31
8.93.7
9.86.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed