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Red52
368129.5
635016.0
903626.2
Blue116
291073.4
129419.0
582736.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58113010015052116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +36
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
31Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
6Foul points6
52Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.5
20.218.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
blue by 43.9
73.41.2
49.150.2
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Second
9036
#17
26.21.5
23.421.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
blue by 10.0
36.30.7
31.031.7
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Third
6350
#18
16.01.5
16.114.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 3.0
1294
#19
19.01.2
19.520.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned