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Red111
824812.3
241240.5
291073.4
Blue32
635016.0
1045516.3
902337.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147405010015011132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+75Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +68
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
6Processor points0
24Net points4
30Algae points4
94Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
111Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.41.6
46.047.6
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 35.8
37.64.0
31.127.1
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
Second
40.51.6
28.930.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 24.2
16.310.6
24.413.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
8248
#13
12.31.6
21.423.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 3.7
6350
#18
16.04.0
19.115.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed