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Red29
498018.2
307031.3
292814.3
Blue125
48845.6
944262.0
292717.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811105010015029125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+100
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +82
4Coral scored#19
16Coral points68
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#3
0Processor points18
0Net points12
0Algae points30
16Total teleop98
Reef
2L4#11
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
5Game pieces#30
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
29Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#16
31.35.8
31.725.9
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
blue by 30.7
62.01.8
52.854.6
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
4980
#20
18.25.8
23.117.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 27.3
488
#4
45.63.0
30.133.1
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Third
2928
#28
14.35.8
26.620.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 2.9
2927
#25
17.13.0
14.917.9
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed