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Red51
48845.6
824812.3
30498.3
Blue37
297616.8
418020.1
498018.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655202040801001205137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
51Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.61.6
30.428.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 25.4
4180
#22
20.11.4
14.413.0
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
8248
#13
12.31.6
13.411.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 6.0
4980
#20
18.21.4
9.78.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
3049
#30
8.31.6
15.714.1
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
blue by 8.4
2976
#21
16.81.4
25.924.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed