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Red48
292814.3
582736.3
32689.5
Blue140
368129.5
902337.6
491534.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5673020408010012014048140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+66
Endgame+74
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +63
7Coral scored#14
25Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
0Processor points12
4Net points28
4Algae points40
29Total teleop92
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points18
48Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.4
31.731.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
blue by 1.3
37.66.2
25.832.0
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
Second
2928
#28
14.30.7
17.516.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 19.8
34.16.2
21.828.0
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Third
3268
#29
9.50.7
5.44.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 20.1
29.56.2
18.724.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned