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Red102
358813.0
418020.1
291073.4
Blue14
30498.3
803217.5
292814.3
82%Model gave it18%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8051020406010012014010214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+88Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +77
17Coral scored#1
61Coral points4
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
81Total teleop4
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#0
6L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
102Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.43.3
53.156.4
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 55.9
8032
#15
17.54.2
21.016.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Second
4180
#22
20.13.3
13.016.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 5.9
2928
#28
14.34.2
16.712.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Third
3588
#23
13.03.3
5.99.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
red by 4.7
3049
#30
8.34.2
14.19.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed