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Red121
498018.2
1045516.3
944262.0
Blue69
824812.3
582736.3
297616.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826920406010012014012169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
76Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points0
121Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.01.8
57.158.9
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
red by 25.7
36.30.1
31.331.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Second
4980
#20
18.23.0
8.311.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 1.5
2976
#21
16.80.2
24.524.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
16.33.0
10.513.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 4.0
8248
#13
12.30.2
11.812.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned