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Red49
491819.4
368129.5
30498.3
Blue62
321918.0
824812.3
903626.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574902040801001204962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
36Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
49Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.4
26.526.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
red by 3.3
9036
#17
26.21.6
21.122.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
4918
#26
19.40.2
15.815.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
3219
#12
18.01.6
14.816.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Third
3049
#30
8.30.4
9.99.5
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
blue by 3.9
8248
#13
12.31.6
12.013.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned