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Red106
198323.5
902337.6
241240.5
Blue117
94841.5
944262.0
290622.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961086080120140160106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
86Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
106Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.3
35.837.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
blue by 21.6
62.01.0
58.759.7
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
37.61.2
32.934.2
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
blue by 3.9
948
#10
41.51.6
28.830.3
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Third
1983
#24
23.51.2
25.426.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
red by 0.8
2906
#14
22.71.6
14.416.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned