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Red62
803217.5
418020.1
1045516.3
Blue94
498018.2
32689.5
49231.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50530204060801006294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
37Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
62Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#22
20.11.5
16.017.5
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
blue by 11.7
492
#6
31.94.0
29.833.8
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Second
8032
#15
17.51.5
15.617.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
blue by 0.8
4980
#20
18.24.0
10.714.7
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
16.31.5
16.017.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 6.8
3268
#29
9.54.0
9.213.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned