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Red90
582736.3
321918.0
9498.9
Blue52
824812.3
292717.1
368129.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575202040801001201409052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points16
90Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.7
31.232.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
red by 6.8
29.51.5
26.124.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
Second
3219
#12
18.02.6
16.319.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
red by 0.8
2927
#25
17.11.5
10.69.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Third
949
#31
8.92.6
5.17.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 3.3
8248
#13
12.31.5
13.512.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned