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Red66
297616.8
491819.4
189927.3
Blue170
291073.4
491534.1
903626.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631265010015020066170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+88
Endgame+102
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
10Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +68
8Coral scored#18
30Coral points66
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
12Processor points24
12Net points32
24Algae points56
54Total teleop122
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
15Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points2
66Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#11
27.30.8
24.423.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
blue by 46.1
73.45.1
59.864.8
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Second
4918
#26
19.40.5
15.615.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 14.7
34.15.1
28.733.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Third
2976
#21
16.80.8
24.924.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 9.5
9036
#17
26.25.1
22.727.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned