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Red95
241240.5
48845.6
635016.0
Blue59
358813.0
307031.3
129419.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97480204060801201401609559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
62Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
95Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.60.3
32.833.1
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 14.2
3070
#16
31.30.8
26.627.4
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Second
40.50.3
37.137.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 21.5
1294
#19
19.00.8
17.117.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Third
6350
#18
16.00.3
16.716.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 2.9
3588
#23
13.00.8
8.08.7
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed