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Red66
49231.9
290622.7
321918.0
Blue29
9498.9
903626.2
297616.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766520401001201406629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
39Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points6
66Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
31.91.4
33.832.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
red by 5.6
9036
#17
26.23.5
27.824.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
2906
#14
22.71.4
16.014.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 6.0
2976
#21
16.83.5
24.120.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
3219
#12
18.01.4
19.017.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
red by 9.1
949
#31
8.93.5
7.74.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed