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Red120
944262.0
129419.0
241240.5
Blue101
491819.4
491534.1
48845.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12581204060100140160180120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
88Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#7
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
120Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.3
59.760.1
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
red by 16.5
488
#4
45.61.8
33.134.9
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
40.50.5
37.337.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 6.4
34.11.8
33.835.6
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Third
1294
#19
19.00.5
17.918.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 0.4
4918
#26
19.41.3
15.116.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed