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Red109
368129.5
94841.5
189927.3
Blue127
307031.3
635016.0
291073.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912350100150200109127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points87
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
73Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
109Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#10
41.52.4
30.332.7
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
blue by 31.9
73.41.4
64.866.3
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Second
29.52.4
24.727.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
blue by 1.8
3070
#16
31.31.4
27.428.8
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Third
1899
#11
27.32.4
23.525.9
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
red by 11.3
6350
#18
16.01.4
16.918.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed