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Red87
803217.5
292717.1
48845.6
Blue118
292814.3
903626.2
944262.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57107015087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+13
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
55Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points18
87Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.62.3
34.937.2
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
blue by 16.5
62.00.3
60.160.4
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
8032
#15
17.52.5
17.119.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
blue by 8.8
9036
#17
26.20.5
24.224.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Third
2927
#25
17.12.5
9.111.6
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
red by 2.9
2928
#28
14.30.5
10.611.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed