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Red82
1045516.3
94841.5
129419.0
Blue106
307031.3
582736.3
49231.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610320408012014016082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
55Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
82Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#10
41.51.3
32.734.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
red by 5.2
36.30.8
33.133.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Second
1294
#19
19.01.3
18.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 12.9
492
#6
31.91.0
32.433.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Third
16.31.3
16.017.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 15.1
3070
#16
31.31.0
28.829.9
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed