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Red123
368129.5
291073.4
491819.4
Blue52
189927.3
824812.3
9498.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1303805010015020012352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+57Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
80Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
123Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.7
66.366.9
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 46.1
1899
#11
27.30.1
25.926.0
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Second
29.50.7
27.027.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
red by 17.3
8248
#13
12.30.1
14.514.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Third
4918
#26
19.40.5
16.416.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 10.5
949
#31
8.90.1
4.24.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed