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Red64
418020.1
292717.1
290622.7
Blue100
241240.5
498018.2
358813.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4171020608010012014064100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points18
64Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2906
#14
22.71.8
14.616.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
blue by 17.7
40.51.6
37.839.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
Second
4180
#22
20.11.8
17.018.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 1.9
4980
#20
18.21.6
15.016.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
2927
#25
17.11.8
11.613.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
red by 4.1
3588
#23
13.01.6
11.212.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed