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Red42
635016.0
292814.3
297616.8
Blue59
902337.6
803217.5
32689.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507702040601001201404259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
23Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
42Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#21
16.81.2
20.619.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 20.8
37.60.9
36.635.7
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
Second
6350
#18
16.01.2
18.317.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 1.5
8032
#15
17.50.9
19.618.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Third
2928
#28
14.31.2
11.19.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 4.8
3268
#29
9.50.9
12.811.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed