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Red75
198323.5
491534.1
129419.0
Blue39
321918.0
30498.3
1045516.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93400501507539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
50Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
75Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.5
35.635.1
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 16.1
3219
#12
18.00.5
17.517.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Second
1983
#24
23.50.5
25.224.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
red by 7.3
16.30.4
17.416.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
1294
#19
19.00.4
19.719.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 10.6
3049
#30
8.30.5
9.59.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed