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Red86
241240.5
418020.1
582736.3
Blue64
491819.4
189927.3
903626.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103690204060801201401608664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+8Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
58Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
86Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.5
39.438.9
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 13.2
1899
#11
27.30.3
26.025.7
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Second
36.30.4
33.933.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
red by 10.0
9036
#17
26.20.3
24.724.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Third
4180
#22
20.10.5
18.918.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 0.7
4918
#26
19.40.2
16.916.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed