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Red103
582736.3
491534.1
491819.4
Blue56
9498.9
94841.5
30498.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816920406010012010356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
70Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
18Foul points6
103Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.9
30.231.1
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
blue by 5.2
948
#10
41.51.4
26.925.5
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
34.11.5
25.827.3
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 25.2
949
#31
8.91.4
15.814.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
4918
#26
19.40.9
15.316.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 11.1
3049
#30
8.31.4
20.118.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed