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Red80
241240.5
903626.2
292717.1
Blue95
48845.6
297616.8
198323.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859240601001201408095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#15
43Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
63Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
80Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.3
30.530.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
blue by 5.1
488
#4
45.61.6
33.134.7
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
9036
#17
26.20.3
27.827.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
red by 2.7
1983
#24
23.51.6
25.126.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
Third
2927
#25
17.10.3
17.917.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End1.7
red by 0.4
2976
#21
16.81.6
22.624.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed