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Red95
291073.4
189927.3
498018.2
Blue28
129419.0
292814.3
321918.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108640501509528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+55Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
56Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
12Foul points0
95Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.9
47.646.7
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 54.4
1294
#19
19.03.6
23.820.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
1899
#11
27.30.9
26.225.3
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
red by 9.3
3219
#12
18.03.6
15.912.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Third
4980
#20
18.20.9
17.316.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 4.0
2928
#28
14.33.6
20.817.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned