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Red87
902337.6
321918.0
498018.2
Blue121
94841.5
292814.3
48845.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69902040608010012014016087121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
59Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
87Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.9
35.736.6
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
blue by 8.0
488
#4
45.63.0
37.240.2
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
4980
#20
18.20.9
16.617.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 23.2
948
#10
41.52.8
36.839.5
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Third
3219
#12
18.00.9
17.118.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
red by 3.7
2928
#28
14.33.0
9.912.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned