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Red97
418020.1
903626.2
307031.3
Blue35
30498.3
297616.8
1045516.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8444020601001201401609735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+60Teleop
+56Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#3
56Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
82Total teleop19
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points0
97Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#16
31.31.4
29.831.2
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
red by 14.6
2976
#21
16.80.7
18.017.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
9036
#17
26.21.4
24.425.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
red by 10.0
16.30.7
16.916.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
4180
#22
20.11.4
18.419.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 11.8
3049
#30
8.30.7
9.08.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed