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Red110
291073.4
635016.0
321918.0
Blue120
48845.6
358813.0
582736.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113854060100120140160180110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
80Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
110Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.6
69.770.2
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 27.8
488
#4
45.62.7
40.242.9
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
3219
#12
18.00.6
18.018.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
blue by 18.3
36.32.4
33.535.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Third
6350
#18
16.00.6
14.715.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 2.9
3588
#23
13.02.7
10.413.0
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned