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Red190
291073.4
944262.0
290622.7
Blue74
803217.5
824812.3
903626.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17241010015020025019074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+116Teleop
+116Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +95
30Coral scored#8
109Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
137Total teleop42
Reef
13L4#4
10L3#3
9L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +116
6Foul points6
190Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.40.8
70.271.0
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 47.2
9036
#17
26.20.3
25.826.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
62.00.8
58.959.6
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
red by 44.6
8032
#15
17.50.3
17.017.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Third
2906
#14
22.70.8
20.221.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 10.5
8248
#13
12.30.3
11.812.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5